order to evaluate adaption options, organisations need help from scientists. Robust
Decision aid consists of a process and tools to select the most flexible and
viable strategies for adaptation. The process combines expert knowledge with
scientific data from climate and sectoral models.
process was developed in a European “Tool supported policy development for
regional adaption”- project (www.topdad.eu).
The project focused on climate change impacts on tourism (decreasing winter
snow cover & rising summer temperatures), transport (retreating arctic sea
& information on weather extremes) and energy (impact on power production).
In addition two cross-sectoral cases have been elaborated, namely
effects of urban flooding and effects of protracted drought and heatwave on
energy, transportation and tourism.
of problems require a competent network
tackles the complexity of the problems by collecting a multidisciplinary team
with supplementary competences from the network partners. The European network
for climate change adaptation strategies include following organisations: Center of
International Climate and Environmental research (Norway), Cambridge Centre for Climate Change
Mitigation Research (UK),
Joanneum Research (Austria), Transport&Mobility
Leuven (Belgium), Institute
of Transport Planning and Systems (Switzerland),
of East Anglia (UK),
of Economic Structures Research
(Germany) and Alterra (Netherlands). Each partners brings to
the network the sectoral competence and specific models and
software to support robust decision aid and interactive tool
ToPDAd Interactive Tool
The ToPDAd project has developed an integrated methodology to assess climate adaptation strategies and then applied it to seven regional case studies from the energy, transport and tourism sectors.
The case studies are relevant for wider regions in Europe and provide insight into the economic effects of climate change and adaptation measures on a timescale up to 2050 or 2100. Based on a unique combination of sector models and macro-economic models, the case studies provide both a sectoral outlook and information on the overall (inter)national economic effects.
With the Interactive site and its Data Exploration Tool you can explore the main conclusions and the detailed outcomes.
ToPDAd method for robust decision-making - SRVM
SRVM stands for Strategy Robustness Visualisation Method, and is a participatory decision making method where uncertainties related to model results and expert judgment are integrated and visualized on radar plots such that 'robustness' of adaptation strategies are visually identifiable. Robust decision-making means that you select a strategy that performs satisfyingly under any scenario outcome, given a predefined set of these.